updated 7.10.2017 – Simona Halep makes it to WTA no.1 position, we updated numbers accordingly
all data valid on 07.10.2017
I was wondering going through the names of winners of Junior Grand Slam tournaments in 2017. Fokina, Piros, Liu, Anisimova, Kostyuk, Osuigwhe, Popyrin, Wu. How many of them will get to top ten ATP and WTA rankings in coming years?
I wish them all to become ATP/WTA tennis professionals, winning as many tournaments as possible. But how real are their chances? That is the question which bothers me for a long time. Now it is time to get answers.
How we proceed
We downloaded a list of all Boys and Girls Grand Slam Winners from the year 1997 till 2017 (you will find the full list at the end of the article). Then we decided to skip the year 2017 as it is hard to get to ATP and WTA ranking when you play just junior tournaments. So we have data from twenty years [1997 – 2016]* to search. Then we find out best singles ranking for every player in the list. This gives us a pretty good overview what percentage of players winning Junior Grand Slam tournament did make it to ATP or WTA TOP 100, TOP 10 or even to number 1 in singles ranking.
*Somebody can object that to keep the year 2016 in data pool will influence the results negatively. We decided to keep it as the winner of Wimbledon Juniors 2016, Denis Shapovalov made it to top 100 without any problems.
How many winners of Junior Grand Slams do make it to TOP 100, TOP 10 or Number 1 in singles ranking?
In years 1997 to 2016, we watched 80 junior Grand Slam tournaments and got 70 boys and 68 girls names of Grand Slam winners (You will find the full list at the end of the article).
The number is not 80 and 80 because 9 of boys and 11 of girls were able to win junior Grand Slam tournament more than once. One boy (Gael Monfils in 2004) and one girl (Anastasia Pavlyuchenko in 2006 and 2007) even won 3 junior Grand Slams.
Question 1 – How many of Junior Grand Slam Winners made it to number 1 position in ATP or WTA Singles Ranking?
| Boys | 3 of 70 | 4.29% | Federer, Murray, Roddick |
| Girls | 6 of 68 | 8.82% | Azarenka, Wozniacki, Jankovic, Pliskova Karolina, Henin, Halep |
Question 2 – How many of Junior Grand Slam Winners made it to ATP or WTA TOP 10 position in Singles Ranking?
| Boys | 16 of 70 | 22.86% |
| Girls | 15 of 68 | 22.08% |
Question 3 – How many of Junior Grand Slam Winners made it to ATP or WTA TOP 100 position in Singles Ranking?
| Boys | 42 of 70 | 60.00% |
| Girls | 57 of 68 | 83.82% |
Question 4 – How many of Junior Grand Slam Winners who won more than once made it to ATP or WTA TOP 10 position in Singles Ranking?
| Boys | 4 of 9 | 44.44% | Monfils, Roddick, Dimitrov, Gasquet |
| Girls | 3 of 11 | 27.27% | Radwanska, Bencic, Azarenka |
Question 5 – How many of Junior Grand Slam Winners who won more than once made it to ATP or WTA TOP 100 position in Singles Ranking?
| Boys | 7 of 9 | 77.78% |
| Girls | 11 of 11 | 100% |
SUMMARY
Numbers usually do not lie but I am aware of weaknesses of our answers. Tennis is an individual sport and we do not know the personal fate of particular players. We do not know why Filip Peliwo or Luke Saville never made it to ATP TOP 100 after winning 2 Junior Grand Slams. We do not know why Rafa Nadal newer won Junior Grand Slam and despite it become ATP number 1. We do not know what happens to another talented Spaniard Carlos Cuadrado who won Junior French Open in 2001 but never made it to ATP TOP 100.
What we know is that in past 20 years all 11 girls who won Junior Grand Slams more than once made it to WTA TOP 100. Three of them made it even to WTA TOP 10.
We know, that 44% (or 4 of 9) boys who won Junior Grand Slam more than once in past 20 years make it to ATP TOP 10. We also know that 2 of 9 of these boys did not make it to ATP TOP 100.
We know that 60% of boys and 83% of girls who won at least one Junior Grand Slam tournament in past 20 years made it to ATP/WTA TOP 100. More than 20% of winners are able to reach TOP 10 in singles ranking. And 3 boys and 5 girls out of them were able to reach the absolute top, number 1 of singles ranking.
My original question was “How many of 2017 Junior Grand Slam Winners will make it to ATP and WTA TOP 10 Singles Ranking. Statistics give me answer. One of the boys and one of the girls should make it. And two boys and three girls should make it to TOP 100. So better to remember their names. But do they make it in reality? Just time will answer.
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DATA POOL [1997 – 2017]
LIST OF PLAYERS WINNING JUNIOR GRAND SLAM FROM 1997
| Player | Number of Junior Grand Slams Wins | Best ATP ranking reached |
| Gaël Monfils | 3 | 6 |
| Andy Roddick | 2 | 1 |
| Bernard Tomic | 2 | 17 |
| Daniel Elsner | 2 | 92 |
| Donald Young | 2 | 38 |
| Filip Peliwo | 2 | 223 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | 2 | 8 |
| Luke Saville | 2 | 152 |
| Richard Gasquet | 2 | 7 |
| Agustín Velotti | 1 | 290 |
| Alexander Zverev | 1 | 4 |
| Alexandre Sidorenko | 1 | 168 |
| Andrey Kuznetsov | 1 | 38 |
| Andrey Rublev | 1 | 37 |
| Andy Murray | 1 | 1 |
| Arnaud di Pascale | 1 | 39 |
| Bjorn Fratangelo | 1 | 99 |
| Borna Ćorić | 1 | 33 |
| Brydan Klein | 1 | 118 |
| Carlos Cuadrado | 1 | 222 |
| Clément Morel | 1 | 387 |
| Daniel Berta | 1 | 637 |
| David Nalbandian | 1 | 3 |
| Denis Shapovalov | 1 | 51 |
| Dušan Lojda | 1 | 161 |
| Félix Auger-Aliassime | 1 | 161 |
| Fernando González | 1 | 5 |
| Florin Mergea | 1 | 243 |
| Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 1 | 289 |
| Gianluigi Quinzi | 1 | 226 |
| Gilles Müller | 1 | 21 |
| Guillermo Coria | 1 | 3 |
| Christian Garín | 1 | 187 |
| Jack Sock | 1 | 14 |
| Janko Tipsarević | 1 | 8 |
| Jarkko Nieminen | 1 | 13 |
| Jérémy Chardy | 1 | 25 |
| Jiří Veselý | 1 | 35 |
| Jo-Wilfried Tsonga | 1 | 5 |
| Julien Jeanpierre | 1 | 133 |
| Jürgen Melzer | 1 | 8 |
| Kimmer Coppejans | 1 | 97 |
| Kristian Pless | 1 | 65 |
| Marcos Baghdatis | 1 | 8 |
| Marin Čilić | 1 | 5 |
| Martin Kližan | 1 | 24 |
| Márton Fucsovics | 1 | 99 |
| Nick Kyrgios | 1 | 13 |
| Nicolas Mahut | 1 | 37 |
| Noah Rubin | 1 | 163 |
| Oliver Anderson | 1 | 639 |
| Oliver Golding | 1 | 327 |
| Omar Jasika | 1 | 239 |
| Paul-Henri Mathieu | 1 | 12 |
| Reilly Opelka | 1 | 125 |
| Ričardas Berankis | 1 | 50 |
| Roger Federer | 1 | 1 |
| Roman Safiullin | 1 | 314 |
| Roman Valent | 1 | 300 |
| Ryan Sweeting | 1 | 64 |
| Stanislas Wawrinka | 1 | 3 |
| Taylor Fritz | 1 | 53 |
| Thiemo de Bakker | 1 | 40 |
| Tiago Fernandes | 1 | 371 |
| Todd Reid | 1 | 105 |
| Tommy Paul | 1 | 157 |
| Vladimir Ignatic | 1 | 129 |
| Wesley Whitehouse | 1 | 214 |
| Yang Tsung-hua | 1 | 164 |
| Yuki Bhambri | 1 | 88 |
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| Player | Number of Junior Grand Slams Wins | Best WTA ranking reached |
| Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | 3 | 13 |
| Agnieszka Radwańska | 2 | 2 |
| Ana Konjuh | 2 | 20 |
| Angelique Widjaja | 2 | 55 |
| Barbora Strýcová | 2 | 16 |
| Belinda Bencic | 2 | 7 |
| Cara Black | 2 | 31 |
| Kirsten Flipkens | 2 | 13 |
| María Emilia Salerni | 2 | 65 |
| Victoria Azarenka | 2 | 1 |
| Virginie Razzano | 2 | 16 |
| Ágnes Szávay | 1 | 995 |
| Alizé Cornet | 1 | 11 |
| An-Sophie Mestach | 1 | 98 |
| Anastasia Potapova | 1 | 234 |
| Anikó Kapros | 1 | 44 |
| Anna-Lena Grönefeld | 1 | 14 |
| Annika Beck | 1 | 37 |
| Arantxa Rus | 1 | 61 |
| Ashleigh Barty | 1 | 23 |
| Caroline Wozniacki | 1 | 1 |
| Coco Vandeweghe | 1 | 16 |
| Dalma Gálfi | 1 | 136 |
| Daria Gavrilova | 1 | 20 |
| Daria Kasatkina | 1 | 24 |
| Elina Svitolina | 1 | 3 |
| Elizaveta Kulichkova | 1 | 87 |
| Eugenie Bouchard | 1 | 5 |
| Grace Min | 1 | 97 |
| Heather Watson | 1 | 38 |
| Iroda Tulyaganova | 1 | 16 |
| Jelena Dokić | 1 | 4 |
| Jelena Janković | 1 | 1 |
| Jelena Kostanić | 1 | 32 |
| Jeļena Ostapenko | 1 | 8 |
| Justine Henin | 1 | 1 |
| Kaia Kanepi | 1 | 15 |
| Karolína Plíšková | 1 | 1 |
| Katarina Srebotnik | 1 | 20 |
| Kateryna Bondarenko | 1 | 29 |
| Kayla Day | 1 | 122 |
| Kristína Kučová | 1 | 71 |
| Kristina Mladenovic | 1 | 12 |
| Kristýna Plíšková | 1 | 35 |
| Ksenia Pervak | 1 | 37 |
| Laura Robson | 1 | 27 |
| Lina Krasnoroutskaya | 1 | 25 |
| Lourdes Domínguez | 1 | 40 |
| Maria Kirilenko | 1 | 10 |
| Marie Bouzková | 1 | 169 |
| Marion Bartoli | 1 | 7 |
| Michaëlla Krajicek | 1 | 30 |
| Mirjana Lucic | 1 | 20 |
| Nadia Petrova | 1 | 3 |
| Noppawan Lertcheewakarn | 1 | 149 |
| Ons Jabeur | 1 | 83 |
| Paula Badosa Gibert | 1 | 193 |
| Rebeka Masarova | 1 | 284 |
| Samantha Crawford | 1 | 98 |
| Sesil Karatantcheva | 1 | 35 |
| Shahar Pe’er | 1 | 11 |
| Simona Halep | 1 | 1 |
| Sofya Zhuk | 1 | 143 |
| Taylor Townsend | 1 | 94 |
| Tereza Mihalíková | 1 | 429 |
| Urszula Radwańska | 1 | 29 |
| Vera Dushevina | 1 | 31 |
| Vera Lapko | 1 | 180 |
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BOYS WINNERS OF GRAND SLAM TOURNAMENTS FROM THE YEAR 1997
*updated 07/17/2019 with winners for 2018 and 2019
| YEAR | AUSTRALIAN OPEN | FRENCH OPEN | WIMBLEDON | US OPEN |
| 1997 | Daniel Elsner | Daniel Elsner | Wesley Whitehouse | Arnaud di Pasquale |
| 1998 | Julien Jeanpierre | Fernando González | Roger Federer | David Nalbandian |
| 1999 | Kristian Pless | Guillermo Coria | Jürgen Melzer | Jarkko Nieminen |
| 2000 | Andy Roddick | Paul-Henri Mathieu | Nicolas Mahut | Andy Roddick |
| 2001 | Janko Tipsarević | Carlos Cuadrado | Roman Valent | Gilles Müller |
| 2002 | Clément Morel | Richard Gasquet | Todd Reid | Richard Gasquet |
| 2003 | Marcos Baghdatis | Stanislas Wawrinka | Florin Mergea | Jo-Wilfried Tsonga |
| 2004 | Gaël Monfils | Gaël Monfils | Gaël Monfils | Andy Murray |
| 2005 | Donald Young | Marin Čilić | Jérémy Chardy | Ryan Sweeting |
| 2006 | Alexandre Sidorenko | Martin Kližan | Thiemo de Bakker | Dušan Lojda |
| 2007 | Brydan Klein | Vladimir Ignatic | Donald Young | Ričardas Berankis |
| 2008 | Bernard Tomic | Yang Tsung-hua | Grigor Dimitrov | Grigor Dimitrov |
| 2009 | Yuki Bhambri | Daniel Berta | Andrey Kuznetsov | Bernard Tomic |
| 2010 | Tiago Fernandes | Agustín Velotti | Márton Fucsovics | Jack Sock |
| 2011 | Jiří Veselý | Bjorn Fratangelo | Luke Saville | Oliver Golding |
| 2012 | Luke Saville | Kimmer Coppejans | Filip Peliwo | Filip Peliwo |
| 2013 | Nick Kyrgios | Christian Garín | Gianluigi Quinzi | Borna Ćorić |
| 2014 | Alexander Zverev | Andrey Rublev | Noah Rubin | Omar Jasika |
| 2015 | Roman Safiullin | Tommy Paul | Reilly Opelka | Taylor Fritz |
| 2016 | Oliver Anderson | Geoffrey Blancaneaux | Denis Shapovalov | Félix Auger-Aliassime |
| 2017 | Zsombor Piros | Alexei Popyrin | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wu Yibing |
| 2018 | Sebastian Korda | Tseng Chun-Hsin | Tseng Chun-Hsin | Thiago Seyboth |
| 2019 | Lorenzo Musetti | HVN Rune | Mochizuki Shintaro | Jonas Forejtek |
Source: Wikipedia
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GIRLS WINNERS OF GRAND SLAM TOURNAMENTS FROM THE YEAR 1997
*updated 07/17/2019 with winners for 2018 and 2019
| YEAR | AUSTRALIAN OPEN | FRENCH OPEN | WIMBLEDON | US OPEN |
| 1997 | Mirjana Lucic | Justine Henin | Cara Black | Cara Black |
| 1998 | Jelena Kostanić | Nadia Petrova | Katarina Srebotnik | Jelena Dokić |
| 1999 | Virginie Razzano | Lourdes Domínguez | Iroda Tulyaganova | Lina Krasnoroutskaya |
| 2000 | Anikó Kapros | Virginie Razzano | María Emilia Salerni | María Emilia Salerni |
| 2001 | Jelena Janković | Kaia Kanepi | Angelique Widjaja | Marion Bartoli |
| 2002 | Barbora Strýcová | Angelique Widjaja | Vera Dushevina | Maria Kirilenko |
| 2003 | Barbora Strýcová | Anna-Lena Grönefeld | Kirsten Flipkens | Kirsten Flipkens |
| 2004 | Shahar Pe’er | Sesil Karatantcheva | Kateryna Bondarenko | Michaëlla Krajicek |
| 2005 | Victoria Azarenka | Ágnes Szávay | Agnieszka Radwańska | Victoria Azarenka |
| 2006 | Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | Agnieszka Radwańska | Caroline Wozniacki | Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova |
| 2007 | Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | Alizé Cornet | Urszula Radwańska | Kristína Kučová |
| 2008 | Arantxa Rus | Simona Halep | Laura Robson | Coco Vandeweghe |
| 2009 | Ksenia Pervak | Kristina Mladenovic | Noppawan Lertcheewakarn | Heather Watson |
| 2010 | Karolína Plíšková | Elina Svitolina | Kristýna Plíšková | Daria Gavrilova |
| 2011 | An-Sophie Mestach | Ons Jabeur | Ashleigh Barty | Grace Min |
| 2012 | Taylor Townsend | Annika Beck | Eugenie Bouchard | Samantha Crawford |
| 2013 | Ana Konjuh | Belinda Bencic | Belinda Bencic | Ana Konjuh |
| 2014 | Elizaveta Kulichkova | Daria Kasatkina | Jeļena Ostapenko | Marie Bouzková |
| 2015 | Tereza Mihalíková | Paula Badosa Gibert | Sofya Zhuk | Dalma Gálfi |
| 2016 | Vera Lapko | Rebeka Masarova | Anastasia Potapova | Kayla Day |
| 2017 | Marta Kostyuk | Whitney Osuigwe | Claire Liu | Amanda Anisimova |
| 2018 | En Shuo Liang | Cori Gauff | Iga Swiatek | Xyiu Wang |
| 2019 | Clara Tauson | Leylah Annie Fernandez | Daria Snigur | Osorio Serrano |
Source: Wikipedia
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