We are only in the second week of the Madrid tournament, and still almost four weeks until French Open starts. However, my projection of this year’s Roland Garros winners becomes very clear already.
Roland Garros 2023 Men Singles: Carlos Alcaraz
The men’s tournament will be about Carlos Alcaraz. He is better every week and currently, all look like he will be unbeatable in Paris.
Of course, there is Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic. Though, both of them suffer from injuries and it is questionable how well-prepared they will be at the end of May.
Nadal injury is probably more serious than Djokovic’s. Both of them will do everything to play at Roland Garros but they will miss needed action on clay to get prepared. Therefore for the first time, I believe that Carlos Alcaraz would have the upper hand in matches against Nadal and Djokovic.
Update 05/18: Nadal will not play in Paris this year due to the injury.
And I do not believe there is anybody else prepared to challenge Alcaraz. Unfortunately, Casper Ruud seems out of form lately (which can change in Rome) and Tsitsipas just does not look like a Slam winner to me.
It is really time for Carlos to show up and take the French Open trophy home.
Roland Garros 2023 Ladies Singles: Iga Swiatek
Ladies’ singles are always a bit unpredictable. The possibility of a “no-name” player, meaning anybody from the WTA TOP 100, playing tennis from another universe is not exactly zero.
With that in mind, I claim that Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka are the best on the clay at the moment.
And I wish to see them at Roland Garros’ 2023 singles final. That would be quite awesome, the best possible match-up. Their head-to-head stats are 5:3 for Swiatek, with four of seven matches played on clay, three won by Swiatek and one by Sabalenka.
Swiatek versus Sabalenka on clay (as of 05/03/2023)
04/23/2023 Stuttgart F: Swiatek def. Sabalenka 6:3 6:4
05/14/2022 Rome SF: Swiatek def. Sabalenka 6:2 6:1
04/24/2022 Stuttgart F: Swiatek def. Sabalenka 6:2 6:2
05/06/2023 Madrid F: Sabalenka def. Swiatek 6:3 3:6 6:3
Essentially, Sabalenka did not take a set from Swiatek on clay until the match in Madrid. But taking a set and one win does not mean she will win a match at Roland Garros. I believe that Iga Swiatek will rule at Roland Garros this season.
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Results: Djokovic and Swiatek